Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

nikhil's Blog Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

In the brand new adventure Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle, the tables are turned as four teenagers in detention are sucked into the world of Jumanji. When they discover an old video game console with a game they’ve never heard of, they are immediately thrust into the game’s jungle setting, into the bodies of their avatars, played by Dwayne Johnson, Jack Black, Kevin Hart, and Karen Gillan. What they discover is that you don’t just play Jumanji –Jumanji plays you. They’ll have to go on the most dangerous adventure of their lives, or they’ll be stuck in the game forever…

Jake Kasdan

Chris McKenna & Erik Sommers and Scott Rosenberg & Jeff Pinkner

Chris McKenna

Chris Van Allsburg

Matt Tolmach, William Teitler

David Householter, Jake Kasdan, Dwayne Johnson, Dany Garcia, Ted Field, Mike Weber

Dwayne Johnson, Jack Black, Kevin Hart, Karen Gillan, Nick Jonas, Bobby Cannavale

It is oddly fitting that Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle is doing so obscenely well at the moment, for it was the first Jumanji (among the likes of Heat, Waiting to Exhale and Sabrina) that showed me back in 1995 just how leggy mid-to-late December releases could be. Joe Johnston’s Jumanji snagged a $100 million domestic total from an $11m debut weekend, while Sabrina legged it to $53.5m domestic on a mere $5.563m opening. That was the first time I noticed, at the tender age of 15, just how valuable that Christmas real estate could be to almost any movie. So yeah, Welcome to the Jungle is turning into a monster hit right alongside The Last Jedi.

Sony’s $90 million-budgeted Dwayne Johnson/Kevin Hart/Jack Black/Karen Gillan action comedy earned another $50.57 million on its second Fri-Sun frame, an insane 40% jump from last weekend’s Fri-Sun debut haul. That’s the third-biggest such jump on its second weekend ever for a movie playing on more than 3,000 screens and in the top ten among all movies that opened on more than 2,500 screens. The sequel to said Robin Williams 1995 fantasy has already earned $170m domestic with a likely 13-day gross of $186.3m. The inflation-adjusted domestic gross for Jumanji is about $204.2m, so Jumanji 2 will have sold more tickets than Jumanji in a few days from now.

Once it passes the $202 million gross of The Mummy Returns, it will be Dwayne Johnson’s biggest domestic grosser outside of the Fast and Furious films. It’s already the biggest live-action earner for Kevin Hart, Jack Black and, uh, Nick Jonas. And needless to say, it’s second only to the Guardians of the Galaxy movies for Karen Gillan. As for director Jake Kasdan, this will soon be bigger than his six directorial offerings (Sex Tape, Bad Teacher, Walk Hard, The TV Set, Orange County and Zero Effect) combined, and it may be so profitable that they can launder some of the money over to Walk Hard and finally get that much-loved cult gem into the black. Something-something-“Wrong kid died”-something-something.

The once implausible notion of topping the $250 million grosses of Night at the Museum (back in Christmas of 2006, the last time Christmas was on a Monday) or the $250m gross (in 1997) of the first Men in Black is now close-to-inevitable. Once it tops Amazing Spider-Man ($257m), it will be, not adjusted for inflation, Sony’s sixth-biggest domestic hit ever behind Skyfall ($304m), Spider-Man: Homecoming ($334m), Spider-Man 3 ($336m), Spider-Man 2 ($374m) and Spider-Man ($403m). Say what you will about Sony, but scoring two of your six biggest hits in one year is pretty damn impressive.

Worldwide is a little more complicated since I’m guessing it won’t top the $700 million+ likes of 2012 or The Da Vinci Code. It’ll (presumably) be their first $500m+ grosser outside of 007 or Spider-Man since MIB3 in 2012. I don’t have worldwide updates yet, but it was at $226m worldwide heading into the weekend, so it’s way over $300m already and possibly flirting with $350m global at the moment.

A domestic run like Night at the Museum (not likely) puts the film all the way up to $370 million domestic, but a more plausible “like Sing” run sends it to $280m domestic. If it tops Sing ($270 million), it’ll be the biggest grossing movie ever to never be #1 at the box office. I don’t want to overly speculate, but there frankly is little history of a well-received movie like this kicking butt on Christmas, holding great over New Year’s and then just dropping dead when the kids go back to school.

Sure, Sherlock Holmes ($209 million from a $62m Fri-Sun debut) was a little frontloaded, but a comparative run from this point onward still gets Jumanji over $256m. Again, I’m not sure I even want to speculate about a $300m+ grossing Jumanji sequel, but… well, let’s see how it holds up next weekend and then the weekend after against Paddington’s Big Score.

The movie is playing great across the board, even with The Last Jedi doing its thing. I am reminded of another big Christmas when Titanic sailed into the record books while Tomorrow Never Dies became the last 007 movie to snag a 5x multiplier ($125m/$25m) right alongside it. Maybe Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (arguably a more kid-friendly and more relaxing sit than The Last Jedi) is stealing some of that repeat business away from The Last Jedi, or perhaps Jumanji is benefiting from folks who either didn’t like The Last Jedi or don’t think it warrants a second viewing for one reason or another.

There was a time, just a few short years ago, where just one huge film doing as well as Jumanji would qualify as a successful Christmas, let alone playing second fiddle to a $600 million+ monster. But like Sing last year, we’ve got a movie that by itself would be a monster hit doing well against a 2400lbs gorilla. Oh, and Tom Rothman has his first genuine megahit over at Sony that isn’t a Spider-Man movie. Where they go from here will be interesting, but once again I think movies like Jumanji and Goosebumps should be their stock-in-trade and I really think they should make time for Jack Black in Goosebumps 2.

source : https://www.forbes.com


Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here